Productivity is declining in the construction sector, mainly due to labour shortages and economic uncertainty. More innovation and re- and upskilling are part of the solution, according to PwC's chief economist Barbara Baarsma and construction sector specialist Annemieke van Beek.
The Dutch construction sector is burdened by several issues. These include not only falling productivity growth but even declining productivity levels: workers are becoming less productive. In 2022, compared to 2021, productivity decreased by 2.2 per cent.
The first set of reasons for the productivity decline are related to increased financial pressure in a sector that traditionally has low profit margins. This undermines firms’ ability to invest and become more resilient. Moreover, the construction industry faces unpredictability, which makes it difficult to think and plan ahead over the long term. As a result, investments in labour productivity enhancement can get out of the picture.
Low margins arise because of:
Despite the construction of almost 180,000 new homes in 2022 and 2023, the task for the sector is still very large: more than 800,000 homes still need to be built between 2024 and 2030 to meet the shortfall5. In the context of a housing crisis, coupled with strong demand for infrastructure, it is of paramount importance that the construction sector can meet societal demands in an efficient manner. Currently, that does not seem likely6 and labour shortages do not seem to be going away any time soon. In this context, boosting labour productivity is vital.
According to the business survey of the Netherlands7, labour shortages and economic uncertainty drive the bulk of firms’ struggles to increase productivity. In line with our analysis, the survey reveals that financial resources and lack of innovation are important factors too. Thus, combating labour shortages is a necessary starting point for construction firms.
Increase the inflow of people into the construction industry
That the construction sector is now facing labour market shortages has its origins in financial crisis8. During that time, the sector had to lay off many skilled workers. Between 2008 and 2014, roughly half of the net outflow of 80,000 people went to work in another sector. Another part retired (early) or became self-employed. All in all, a lot of knowledge and experience was lost during this period. There are still almost ten percentage points fewer people working in construction now than before the financial crisis (Figure 3).
It is therefore important to increase the inflow of labour into the sector and to increase the knowledge and skills of those already working in the sector. In view of the latter, it is essential to set up in-service training programmes. Re-skilling of workers in redundant occupations and the unemployed is also an option. This requires close partnerships with MBO schools. Recruiting abroad is also a viable option to ensure a constant inflow of workers.
The unattractiveness of the sector is something that must be combated. Construction connects people and industries, while making the country more liveable in the long-term. It has a strong social impact and is thus not the hardest sector to market.
Besides advertising the social benefits of construction, more efforts should be directed at making the primary building process more attractive to workers. While some relevant innovations are directed at adjacent activities (such as drones for sight inspection and mapping), more innovations should be aimed to alleviate the strong burden that building itself can place on workers. One example is the development of exoskeletons, which reduce the probability of injury, while improving posture and protecting workers’ limbs.
Innovate to ease pressure on people
In addition, some firms have tried to mitigate the effects of labour shortages by pioneering factory-made timber houses, which besides being more sustainable, are easier to install and involve less human labour. Furthermore, timber houses are significantly lighter than concrete houses, which means they require less heavy machinery (hence less costs), while robots are very well suited to working wood. In addition, the relative lightness of timber makes it a great candidate for usage in adding floors to existing buildings. Innovations like these are certainly a viable way to cope with pressures on human capital availability. The government can also play a role in this process, by providing incentives for innovation to firms that are under severe financial strain due to economic uncertainty.
1 https://single-market-economy.ec.europa.eu/sectors/construction/observatory/country-fact-sheets/netherlands_en
2 https://opendata.cbs.nl/statline/#/CBS/en/dataset/84538ENG/table?ts=1710151268495
3 https://pr.euractiv.com/pr/shortage-labour-construction-industry-255982
4 https://roastatistics.maastrichtuniversity.nl/AIS/Login.aspx
5 Kabinetsbrief bij voortgangsrapportage Programma Woningbouw, 5 juni 2024
6 https://think.ing.com/articles/dutch-construction-faces-sharp-decline-in-2024/
7 Three-quarters of entrepreneurs are trying to increase productivity | CBS
8 https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/achtergrond/2016/22/het-lot-van-de-verdwenen-bouwvakkers